138A Church Road, London, E12 6HL

UPRN:46083221Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band BEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£251,000

£226k - £276kMedium

Estimate

£251k

Range

£226k – £276k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

138A Church Road earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (27/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

27/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 19Bike 43

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 46083221· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.4/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -82/mo, -5% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 79 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
130 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: £195/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 46083221Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£251,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.7%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0E12 6HL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02275/AOD
Approval of details pursuant to Condition 13 (Landscaping) attached to planning permission 19/00622/FUL dated 30th April 2019.
Pending
26/02234/PREHH
Prior notification application for the construction of a single-storey ground floor rear extension. The details submitted are as follows: The proposed extension will extend beyond the rear wall by 5.60m The maximum height of the proposed extension from the natural ground level is 3.15m The height at eaves level of the proposed extension measured from the natural ground level is 2.90m
Pending
26/01889/FUL
Change of use of existing ground floor commercial unit from Sui Generis (formerly Use Class A4 - Public House) to Use Class E(a) for the display or retail sale of goods.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership65.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining45 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,080

Population Density21,344 /km²

Owner Occupied37%

Age Distribution

0-15 28%16-64 63%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Winefride's RC Primary School
0.0 mi
Good
Dersingham Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Little Ilford School
0.1 mi
Good
Sir John Heron Primary School
0.2 mi
Good

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

160A Church Road
-
£260k
-
140 Church Road
-
£1k
-
136A Church Road
-
£260k
-
180 Church Road
-
£362k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN