Flat 2, 4 Elsworthy Road, London, NW3 3DJ

UPRN:5019328Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt before 1900

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Flat 2, 4 Elsworthy Road, London, NW3 3DJ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,648,000

£1.57M - £1.73MHigh

Estimate

£1.65M

Range

£1.57M – £1.73M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£6,650

£6k - £7k

Monthly

£6,650

Yield

5.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (92/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

92/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 41Bike 72

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5019328· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,971/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 35 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
380 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,196,000£1,834,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,595,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£6,650/mo

Evidenced range £6,000-£7,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £584,950
Net cash flow: -£779/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5019328Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 6650/mo (range 6000-7300)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,648,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£6,650

Gross Yield5.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.2%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+0.3%

Last Sold Price£1,425,000 (2017-12-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW3 3DJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/4254/P
Retention of 2 x exterior condenser units to the rear (retrospective).
Pending
2026/4824/T
FRONT GARDEN: 1 x Ash (T1) - Reduce main upper crown to previous pruning points not to breach new heartwood in pruning by returning to small diameter points in pruning points.
Pending
2026/4813/T
REAR GARDEN: 1 x Robina (T1) - Crown reduction back to previous pruning points, approx. 3m reduction. 1 x Cypress hedge (T2) - Tidy with hedge trimmers.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership52.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2017-12-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£44,088

Population Density4,136 /km²

Owner Occupied43%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 65%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Paul's Church of England Primary School
0.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Sarum Hall School
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
Hampstead Fine Arts College
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
Trevor-Roberts School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI

2 of 6 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 Elsworthy Road
-
£1.55M
-
4 Elsworthy Road
-
£2.45M
-
10 Elsworthy Road
-
£5.78M
-
18 Elsworthy Road
-
£12.00M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN