Flat 6, Falcon Lodge, Oak Hill Park, London, NW3 7LD

UPRN:5049554Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 3mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Flat 6, Falcon Lodge, Oak Hill Park, London, NW3 7LD

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,006,000

£956k - £1.06MHigh

Estimate

£1.01M

Range

£956k – £1.06M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,050

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,050

Yield

5.12%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 6 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (90/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

90/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 36Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5049554· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.7/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4050/mo (range 3650-4500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,036/mo, -50% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 34 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
380 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£712,500£1,092,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£950,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,050/mo

Evidenced range £3,650-£4,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £325,050
Net cash flow: -£402/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.26 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5049554Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4050/mo (range 3650-4500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4050/mo (range 3650-4500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 34 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,006,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,050

Gross Yield5.12%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.2%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+0.3%

Last Sold Price£445,000 (2001-08-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NW3 7LD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/4825/T
FRONT GARDEN: 1 x Ash (T1) - Reduce back to holistic reduction points, (3m) in order to prevent failure of branches over public footpath and communal gardens. 1 x Plum & 1 x Amelanchier (G1) - Reduce back to previous pruning points, (1m -1.5m) in order to prevent overhang over public footpath and excessive shading to lower ground windows of property. REAR GARDEN: (T2) Indian Bean - Reduce overhang over the garages by up to 3m in order to prevent failure of tree or branches. 4 x Laurel (G2) - Trim lateral spread by up to 0.5m and reduce height by approx. 1m to prevent excessive shading to rear of property.
Pending
2026/4839/T
(TPO REF: C98) REAR GARDEN: 1 x Bay (Laurus nobilis) - Prune back to previous points.
Pending
2026/4796/T
REAR GARDEN: 1 x Magnolia (T2) - Prune back crown from the property to achieve approx. 0.5m of clearance, pruning to suitable growth points. 1 x Silver Birch Group (T4) - Reduce height by approx. 0.5m making pruning cuts to suitable growth points and retaining the natural character 1 x Silver Birch (T5) - Crown reduction of up to 1.5m, pruning back to suitable growth points while retaining the tree's natural form. 1 x Bay (T6) - Reduce overall height by up to 3m and lateral crown reduction of up to 1.5m to reshape. 1 x Holly (T9) - Fell to ground level. 2 x Elder (T10 & T11) - Fell to ground level. 1 x Japanese Maple (Acer) (T13) - Crown reduction of 1m and reshape.
Pending

View Planning Timeline