Flat 4, Hillcrest Lodge, 40 Shoot-Up Hill, London, NW2 3QB

UPRN:5119509Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

Flat 4, Hillcrest Lodge, 40 Shoot-Up Hill, London, NW2 3QB

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£472,000

£449k - £496kHigh

Estimate

£472k

Range

£449k – £496k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,750

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,750

Yield

4.42%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 4 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (86/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

86/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 55Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5119509· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -868/mo, -50% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
362 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,750/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£392/mo
Cash on cash: -3.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.09 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5119509Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1750/mo (range 1600-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 28 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£472,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,750

Gross Yield4.42%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth-0.9%

10y Growth+0.3%

Last Sold Price£467,000 (2021-02-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2NW2 3QB

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/2775
T1: Magnolia (4m): Crown reduce by 1m to keep trees at a size suitable for its location and as part of regular maintenance. G1: Group of 5 trees including 2 x Plum and 3 x Apple (6m): Crown reduce to previous points removing 1.5m of re-growth to keep trees at a size suitable for its location and as part of regular maintenance T2: Contorted Willow (6m): Re-pollard to previous removing 2m to keep trees at a size suitable for its location and as part of regular maintenance
Pending
2026/4782/P
Erection of a hip-to-gable roof extension, including a full-width rear dormer extension to the main roof, a dormer roof extension with associated roof terrace to the annex wing and installation of 3 x rooflights to the front elevation.
Pending
26/2737
Ash tree (self seeding) within 0.5m from boundary wall. Our property is located on shrinkable London clay soil. Fast-growing, high-water-demand trees situated within half a metre of building foundations present a long-term risk of soil desiccation, clay shrinkage, and potential foundation movement. We have been advised to remove the tree to ground level.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership59.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2021-02-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£44,088

Population Density-

Owner Occupied29%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 78%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Mulberry House School
0.1 mi
Inspected by ISI
Mapesbury School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
West Hampstead Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Hampstead School
0.4 mi
GoodConcerns

2 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

40 Shoot Up Hill
-
£475k
-
46 Shoot Up Hill
-
£295k
-
46 Shoot Up Hill
-
£250k
-
46 Shoot Up Hill
-
£325k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN