18 Arundel Grove, London, N16 8LZ

UPRN:5300003386End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£789,000

£710k - £867kMedium

Estimate

£789k

Range

£710k – £867k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,000

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,000

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Arundel Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (88/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Low

Walkability

88/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 83Bike 77

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5300003386· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2700-3300)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,089/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
386 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£562,500£862,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£750,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,000/mo

Evidenced range £2,700-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £253,800
Net cash flow: -£454/mo
Cash on cash: -2.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5300003386Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2700-3300)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3000/mo (range 2700-3300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£789,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,000

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.6%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+0.3%

Last Sold Price£283,000 (2008-12-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1N16 8LZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P2026/2877/TRE
T1 - Lime - reduce crown to points of previous reduction - 3m approx. branch removal. Thin crown by 20-25% by removal of epicormic growth. Crown lift to 6m (epicormic growth only)
Pending
P2026/2851/TRE
(T1) Olive - Tree is growing on the right hand border of 49a Grosvenor Avenue and is overhanging neighbouring property. Tree is approximately 8m tall and 6-8m lateral spread. Tree has previously been reduced and has approximately 3m of regrowth. Proposing to reduce entire crown back to previous pruning points (3m) in order to prevent failure of branches, prevent excessive shading to neighbouring garden and property and preserve tree in location. (T2) Eucalyptus - Tree has grown into boundary wall and is now beginning to push the wall out and cause it to bow. It also has some decay on the main stem from an old pruning cut and has a bracket fungus at approximately 1.5m. Proposing to remove the tree to prevent further damage to the wall.
Pending
P2026/2813/FUL
ground floor single storey rear extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline