83 Tintern Road, Carshalton, SM5 1QF

UPRN:5870055852End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£441,000

£419k - £463kHigh

Estimate

£441k

Range

£419k – £463k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

83 Tintern Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (87/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

87/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 42Bike 61

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870055852· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -485/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
269 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£65/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870055852Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 37 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£441,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth+9.7%

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£175,000 (2005-02-17)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SM5 1QF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM2026/01181
Formation of a front entrance porch.
Pending
DM2026/01126
Prior Approval for a single storey rear extension projecting from the rear of the original house by 6m.
Pending
DM2026/01115
Prior Approval for change of use from Use Class E to residential use providing 1 self contained unit.
Pending

View Planning Timeline