Flat 2, Pear Tree Court, 3 Forelle Way, Carshalton, SM5 4BD

UPRN:5870122370Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 2012 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 2, Pear Tree Court, 3 Forelle Way, Carshalton, SM5 4BD

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£285,000

£270k - £299kHigh

Estimate

£285k

Range

£270k – £299k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

6.69%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

19/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

75/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +8.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870122370· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics12.5/40
gross yield 6.7%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1550)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -173/mo, -12% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 117 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
269 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£195,000£299,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£260,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £82,300
Net cash flow: £126/mo
Cash on cash: 1.8%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.65 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 5870122370Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1550)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1550)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£285,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield6.69%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.5%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price£193,000 (2013-09-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SM5 4BD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM2026/01167
Erection of a single storey detached outbuilding to rear garden land.
Pending
DM2026/01149
Erection of a part one, part two storey front, side and rear extension including the conversion of the integrated flank garage into habitable rooms and associated external work, conversion of loft space involving alterations to existing roofline, a dormer extension at rear, rooflights to front roofslope and alterations to the ground floor front fenestration.
Pending
DM2026/01148
Erection of a single storey front, side and rear extension including the conversion of the integrated flank garage into habitable rooms and alterations to the ground floor front and first floor flank fenestrations.
Pending

View Planning Timeline