Flat 22, Elbourne House, Lumley Road, Horley, RH6 7LB

UPRN:68158527Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 22, Elbourne House, Lumley Road, Horley, RH6 7LB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£219,000

£197k - £241kMedium

Estimate

£219k

Range

£197k – £241k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£800 - £950

Monthly

£900

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 22 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (81/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

60/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

81/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 61

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68158527· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-950)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -609/mo, -68% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
386 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£169,000£258,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£225,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £800-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £70,800
Net cash flow: -£136/mo
Cash on cash: -2.3%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68158527Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-950)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 800-950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£219,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.2%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0RH6 7LB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01714/PDE
Single storey rear extension. Max height 2.50m, height at eaves 2.50m and 4.00m extending beyond the rear wall.
Pending
26/01463/F
Relocation and replacement of the existing storage shed within the grounds of Horley Bowling Club comprising the installation of two new timber storage sheds and associated bases. As amended on 27/10/2026
Pending
26/00553/NMAMD1
Non material amendment. Remove the parapet wall and reduce the height and width of the extension from 3.378.m high to 2.992m and from 6.055m wide to 5.625m.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership58.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining102 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£40,014

Population Density6,128 /km²

Owner Occupied39%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 76%65+ 7%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Horley Infant School
0.1 mi
Inspected as Horley Infant School (URN 124981) on 23 May 2018
Yattendon School
0.3 mi
Inspected as Yattendon School (URN 125289) on 23 Mar 2022
Oakwood School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Langshott Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

4 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Elbourne House Lumley Road
-
£258k
-
Elbourne House Lumley Road
-
£255k
-
Elbourne House Lumley Road
-
£232k
-
Elbourne House Lumley Road
-
£260k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN