Flat 9, 2 Outwood Lane, Chipstead, Coulsdon, CR5 3NA

UPRN:68173117Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 2012 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 9, 2 Outwood Lane, Chipstead, Coulsdon, CR5 3NA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£266,000

£252k - £279kHigh

Estimate

£266k

Range

£252k – £279k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

6.25%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 9 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (31/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

31/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +9.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +17.8%, £/sqft +17.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68173117· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 15.1%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.8/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -248/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 65 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
283 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £55/mo
Cash on cash: 0.9%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 68173117Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 15.1%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£266,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield6.25%

1y Growth+5.2%

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2024-04-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CR5 3NA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01593/HHOLD
Single storey rear extension and patio/garden reformation with a dropped kerb.
Pending
26/01635/TPO
T1 - Lime tree, rear garden. Remove 2 branches (6 metre cut) encroaching onto house x1 left hand branch encroaching onto house. Outgrowing surrounding area cause for concern to client.
Pending
26/00953/DET04
Submission of tree protection plan and arboricultural method statement details pursuant to condition 4 of permission 26/00953/HHOLD. Two storey rear extension, single storey side extension, relocation of front entrance, alterations to fenestration and an outside kitchen.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining111 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2024-04-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£40,014

Population Density-

Owner Occupied87%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 61%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Chipstead Valley Primary School
0.7 mi
Outstanding
Serenity School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Woodmansterne Primary School
1.2 mi
Good
St Aidan's Catholic Primary School
1.3 mi
Good

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Prospect House Outwood Lane
-
£465k
-
Sunnyside, 36 Outwood Lane
-
£1.07M
-
2 Outwood Lane
-
£318k
-
2 Outwood Lane
-
£250k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN