The Cottage, Ickford Road, Shabbington, Aylesbury, HP18 9HN

UPRN:766030276Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band EEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Cottage, Ickford Road, Shabbington, Aylesbury, HP18 9HN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£834,000

£751k - £918kMedium

Estimate

£834k

Range

£751k – £918k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,100

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,100

Yield

4.16%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (9/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

9/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.3% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -101.6%, £/sqft -101.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766030276· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.7%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.2%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,627/mo, -52% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 189 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
199 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£671,000£1,029,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£895,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,100/mo

Evidenced range £2,750-£3,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £304,550
Net cash flow: -£874/mo
Cash on cash: -3.4%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.03 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766030276Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.7%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 189 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£834,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,100

Gross Yield4.16%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£670,000 (2022-03-11)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2HP18 9HN

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

PL/26/07830/FA
Householder application for the conversion of the ground floor of the detached garage to an ancillary home gym and shower room
Pending
PL/26/07295/HB
Listed building consent for replacement of 4x timber windows
Pending
PL/26/06408/FA
Conversion of stables into private gym facility with infill of front overhang (retrospective)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change2022-03-11
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

5 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,937

Population Density-

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 59%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Ickford School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Lord Williams's School
2.2 mi
Good
Chilworth House Upper School
2.3 mi
Good
Long Crendon School
2.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Lulsgate Ickford Road
-
£600k
-
The Cottage Ickford Road
-
£670k
-
Porch Cottage Ickford Road
-
£760k
-
15 Ickford Road
-
£611k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN