1 Hill Cottages, Wotton Road, Ashendon, Aylesbury, HP18 0HL

UPRN:766033272Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 4mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 Hill Cottages, Wotton Road, Ashendon, Aylesbury, HP18 0HL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£536,000

£510k - £563kHigh

Estimate

£536k

Range

£510k – £563k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,500

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,500

Yield

5.57%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Hill Cottages earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 50/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

50/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 14

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766033272· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -566/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 129 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
199 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£404,000£620,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£539,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,500/mo

Evidenced range £2,300-£2,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £179,950
Net cash flow: -£88/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 766033272Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2700)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 129 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£536,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,500

Gross Yield5.57%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.8%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£430,000 (2017-09-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0HP18 0HL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/06383/CONDA
Application for approval of details subject to condition 5 (Biodiversity Features) of planning approval PL/26/03314/FA
Conditions
PL/26/01202/CONDA
Application for approval of details subject to conditions 7 (boundary treatments), 8 (hard and soft landscaping) and 10 (external light fitting) of planning approval 22/01656/APP
Conditions
PL/26/00606/KA
G1 Silver Birch x4 - reduce crown height to approximately 1m below utility lines. T1 - Spruce - dismantle down to ground level. (Ashendon Conservation Area).
Rejected

View Planning Timeline