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Cilyrynys, Porthyrhyd, Carmarthen, SA32 8PX

UPRN:10004869775Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929
FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: G (12)
Data freshness:Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 2d ago (2026-10-23T04:00:04.135672+00:00)Planning· 5mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-10T07:15:14.324487+00:00)Risk· 2y agoRisk: stale, refreshed 2y ago (2024-12-31T00:00:00+00:00)Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
Valuation estimateUpdated yesterday
£409,000
Estimated value
Range: £368k - £450kLast sold: £475k (2025-08-21)

Estimate of £409k for this detached house. 58 sales in SA32 in the last 12 months; median £303k.

Estimate confidence
Medium confidence

Value History

Monthly AVM sale-value estimate
Current estimate
£409k
£368k - £450k - Medium confidence
Annualised (CAGR)
-4.68%
Over the full window
Peak estimate
£701k
Nov 2022
From peak
-41.65%
Drawdown from peak
£799k£696k£593k£490k£387k2020202120222023202420252026Peak
AVM estimate (model)Repeat-sales index - SA area (monthly)index YoY -5.68%
Growth by window
3m
+0.00%
6m
-0.73%
12m
+0.00%
24m
-41.65%
60m
-34.14%

Rental Market

Monthly
Estimated rent (pcm)
£1,300
/ month
Gross yield
5.20%
Rent ÷ asking price
Net yield
3.61%
Assumes ~31% running costs (not this property's)
Vacancy trend
12-month change
-

Market Metrics

6 live signals
Median Area Price
£303k
SA32 sales, last 12 months
12m Price Growth
-
SA32 median, Land Registry
Days on Market
83d
SA32 average

Sales & Yield

3 metrics
Transactions / 12m
58
SA32 sales
Area Gross Yield
3.73%
SA32 medians
Last Sold
£475k
2025-08-21

Investment Analysis

Buy-to-let cashflow + capital returns

25% deposit · IO

Purchase

  • Asking Price£300,000
  • SDLT standard£5,000
  • SDLT BTL surcharge (5%)£15,000
  • Legal, survey + broker (assumed)£2,100
  • RefurbishmentNot costed
  • Total Cost (excl. refurb)£322,100

Funding

  • Deposit (25%)£75,000
  • Mortgage (75% LTV)£225,000
  • Interest Rate (assumed)5.25%
  • Mortgage TypeInterest Only
  • Cash Required£97,100

Monthly Returns

  • Monthly Rent (estimate)£1,300
  • Mortgage Payment (IO)-£984
  • Management (10%)-£130
  • Insurance (assumed)-£40
  • Maintenance (assumed)-£60
  • Monthly Cashflow+£86

Capital Returns

  • 5yr Property Value£312,969
  • 5yr Capital Gain (0.85% pa, historical)+£12,969
  • 5yr Cumulative Rent (net)+£67,059
  • Less mortgage interest-£59,040
  • 5yr Total Return+£20,988

Modelled on the live asking price. Assumed, as in the PDF report: 25% deposit, 5.25% interest-only mortgage, management 10% of rent, insurance £40/mo, maintenance £60/mo, legal, survey and broker £2,100. Refurbishment, voids and letting fees are not costed.

5-Year Projection

BTL · Interest Only
YearProperty ValueEquityCashflow (cumulative)Total ReturnROI
Year 1£302,550£77,550+£1,032+£3,5823.7%
Year 2£305,122£80,122+£2,340+£7,4627.7%
Year 3£307,715£82,715+£3,942+£11,65712.0%
Year 4£310,331£85,331+£5,833+£16,16416.6%
Year 5£312,969£87,969+£8,019+£20,98821.6%

Modelled on the live asking price. Capital growth 0.85% a year is the SA32 area's 5-year historical rate (Land Registry medians), not a forecast. Rent grows 2% a year (assumed); management is 10% of each year's rent. Mortgage held interest-only at 5.25% for 5 years. Refurbishment, voids and letting fees are not costed. ROI is on cash required (£97,100).

Price Forecast

No forecast available.

Demand & Supply

DemandSupply

    Comparable Sales

    4 matches

    GRO-GWYNION

    Recent sale
    £600k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -

    CILYRYNYS

    Recent sale
    £475k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -

    GLANYRYNYS LODGE

    Recent sale
    £390k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -

    MAESACHDDU

    Recent sale
    £437k
    Sale price
    £/sqft
    -
    Rent pcm
    -
    Yield
    -

    Area Economic Intelligence

    3 signals
    Signal
    £30,774
    Median earnings (local authority)
    Signal
    2,070
    Population
    Signal
    2.5%
    Households Deprived

    Upside Opportunities

    0 levers