409 Kings Road, Ashton-under-Lyne, OL6 9EX

UPRN:100011546372End Terrace House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

409 Kings Road, Ashton-under-Lyne, OL6 9EX

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£467,000

£420k - £513kMedium

Estimate

£467k

Range

£420k – £513k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,300

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,300

Yield

8.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

409 Kings Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (80/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

80/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 31Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 23 Oct 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.6% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011546372· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics30/40
gross yield 8.8%; range width penalty ×0.99
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3300/mo (range 3100-3450)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin12/30
stressed cash flow +397/mo, +12% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 23 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 23 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
253 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £394,000

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,300/mo

Evidenced range £3,100-£3,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: £766/mo
Cash on cash: 6.2%
Score at this price: 55

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.17 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011546372Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3300/mo (range 3100-3450)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 23 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 23 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3300/mo (range 3100-3450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £394,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£467,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,300

Gross Yield8.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+4.8%

10y Growth+5.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OL6 9EX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00679/CLUD
Lawful Development Certificate for Existing Use: Conversion of the property from residential (Use Class C3) to HMO for up to 4 persons (Use Class C4), with the C4 use having continued without material interruption since 24 January 2025
Approved
26/00451/MATCH
Non-material amendment to planning application 25/00909/FUL. Amendments to remove bin store to allow for bigger bathroom at ground floor level. Bin store doors will become frosted bathroom window. Bin store moved to garden area as per proposed site plan.
Approved
26/00363/HHPD
Single storey rear extension. The length of the extension from the rear of the original house 3.85m. Maximum height of the extension 3.30m. Maximum height of eaves 3.00m
Approved

View Planning Timeline