4 Thorlby Haven, Bicker, Boston, PE20 3DD

UPRN:200004475036Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 2mo ago

4 Thorlby Haven, Bicker, Boston, PE20 3DD

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£242,000

£230k - £255kHigh

Estimate

£242k

Range

£230k – £255k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£800 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

4.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Thorlby Haven earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 56/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (20/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

56/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

20/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 23 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200004475036· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -481/mo, -53% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 23 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 270 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 23 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
164 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £800-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: -£187/mo
Cash on cash: -3.0%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.11 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200004475036Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 23 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 23 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 800-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 270 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£242,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield4.50%

1y Growth+7.6%

3y Growth-0.8%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£250,000 (2025-03-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0PE20 3DD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

01724/26/DPC
Application to discharge Conditions C2 (Materials) and C9 (Pollution and Energy) of permission B/26/0124
Approved
B/26/0319
Planning application
Pending
B/26/0298
Planning application
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership83.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2025-03-24
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£27,729

Population Density-

Owner Occupied74%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 57%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Cowley Academy
1.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
The Donington Cowley Endowed Primary School
1.6 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Swineshead St Mary's Church of England Primary School
2.1 mi
Good
Quadring Cowley & Brown's Primary School
2.1 mi
Good

1 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Thorlby Haven
-
£250k
-
19 Thorlby Haven
-
£225k
-
6 Thorlby Haven
-
£280k
-
14 Thorlby Haven
-
£270k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN