Fforest Villa, Llanddowror, St. Clears, Carmarthen, SA33 4HL

UPRN:200001662633Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (54)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Fforest Villa, Llanddowror, St. Clears, Carmarthen, SA33 4HL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£373,000

£355k - £392kHigh

Estimate

£373k

Range

£355k – £392k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

4.64%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Fforest Villa earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 23 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001662633· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -646/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 23 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 215 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 23 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
92 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£262/mo
Cash on cash: -2.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.15 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 200001662633Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 23 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 23 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 215 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£373,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield4.64%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-8.0%

5y Growth-1.4%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£290,000 (2019-07-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA33 4HL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11100
The siting of iso container at the main entrance of the property
Rejected
Carmarthenshire/PL/08639
Timber Framed Garden Room for additional family activities
Approved
Carmarthenshire/PL/06120
Change of use of part of café car park to residential curtilage together with the erection of a kennel and siting of a storage container. In addition, the erection of a 1.8m timber fence to the boundary of the car park and 0.9m gated vehicular access together with the siting of a storage container within the café parking area
Rejected

View Planning Timeline