30 Winterton Valley Estate, Edward Road, Winterton-on-Sea, NR29 4BX

UPRN:10023460443Bungalow Property2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -AI-Powered Intelligence

Data freshness:Planning· 2mo agoRisk· 2mo agoConnectivity· 2mo agoSchools· 2mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

30 Winterton Valley Estate, Edward Road, Winterton-on-Sea, NR29 4BX

Location map - no listing photos available

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

BUY
Strong fundamentals
INVESTIGATE
Mixed signals - investigate
AVOID
High risk factors

Confidence

Medium

Sale Estimate

£49,000

£44k - £54kMedium

Estimate

£49k

Range

£44k – £54k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£200

£150 - £200Medium

Monthly

£200

Yield

AI Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

AI summary

30 Winterton Valley Estate earns a INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (4/100). Flood risk is rated low. Tenure is leasehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.

Key SourcesZoopla ListingsHP Property Intelligencevalue historyHP Walkability v2ONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / LA PortalsHMLR CCODHMLR CovenantsHMLR LeasesHMLR Price PaidDefra Noise MapOSM AmenitiesOfsted / GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

3/ 100

Low

Walkability

4/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Low

Real Data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 26 Aug 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge13.8/40
claims [AVM +22.4% (MEDIUM)] → consensus +22.4% → credited 2.9% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration
- zoopla_valuationsestimate for 10023460443· as of 12 Aug 2026
Rental economics9.2/30
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.70
- zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 200/mo (range 150-200)· as of 12 Aug 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivation10/20
2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; calibration: cuts mark staleness, credited as negotiation context only
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 26 Aug 2026
Risk & liquidity8.5/10
277 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Calibrated against 6,141 realised listing→HMLR-sale outcomes, estimates taken as-of listing month. A large discount from one source alone is capped - independent sources must agree before it counts fully.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£28,500£43,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£38,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£200/mo

Evidenced range £150-£200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £12,700
Net cash flow: £10/mo
Cash on cash: 1.0%
Score at this price: 42

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

zoopla_valuationsestimate for 10023460443Valuation edge · as of 12 Aug 2026
zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 200/mo (range 150-200)Rental economics · as of 12 Aug 2026
zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 26 Aug 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 200/mo (range 150-200)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£49,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£200

Gross Yield-

1y Growth+65.2%

3y Growth+0.7%

5y Growth+2.5%

10y Growth+3.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskLow
Subsidence2
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
Landslide1
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NR29 4BX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

TW/26/1758
T2 - Ash, Height reduction by approx 5m, remove dead wood and cut back branch extending over grounds of Womack Residences
Pending
BA/2026/0221/FUL
The demolition and replacement of an agricultural building used for the housing of cows
Pending
06/26/0658/TCA
Works to trees in a Conservation Area - Removal of acer within conservation area No11. Replant a small tree/shrub more suitable to its position within the rear garden
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership75.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median Household Income£26,484

Population Density103 /km²

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 10%16-64 52%65+ 38%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Winterton Primary School and Nursery
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Hemsby Primary School
0.8 mi
-
Ormesby Village Junior School
2.2 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Flegg High Ormiston Academy
2.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Winterton Valley Estate Edward Road
-
£61k
-
Winterton Valley Estate Edward Road
-
£30k
-
Winterton Valley Estate Edward Road
-
£76k
-
Winterton Valley Estate Edward Road
-
£50k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN