
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
30 Lyons Grove earns a AVOID rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is good (75/100). Flood risk is rated very low. Tenure is freehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Why this could be an opportunity
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
claims [AVM +2.0% (HIGH)] → consensus +2.0% → credited 0.7% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.98
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
176 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
3 of 4 components scored. Calibrated against 6,141 realised listing→HMLR-sale outcomes, estimates taken as-of listing month. A large discount from one source alone is capped - independent sources must agree before it counts fully.
What happens to your money
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
At the asking price
Evidenced range £1,700-£1,900
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Where every number comes from
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1700-1900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
3. Fill the seller motivation gap before relying on the score.
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.