4 Spinney Close, Moulton, Northampton, NN3 7DH

UPRN:28053318Detached HouseBeds -Built 2012-2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Spinney Close, Moulton, Northampton, NN3 7DH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£474,000

£451k - £498kHigh

Estimate

£474k

Range

£451k – £498k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.56%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Spinney Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (38/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

65/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

38/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 23 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (HIGH), sold-comps +12.4%, £/sqft +12.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 28053318· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.1/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -517/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 23 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 94 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 23 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
711 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£80/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 28053318Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.3%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 23 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 23 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 94 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£474,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.56%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.4%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£399,995 (2015-02-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NN3 7DH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/4003/COND
Discharge of Condition 14 (Flexible crossover, turning space and roller shutter door details) of Planning Permission WND/2023/0241 (Construction of 894 square metres of Class E (Commercial, Business, and Service) floor space split between two buildings and four individual units).
Pending
2026/3790/COND
Discharge of Conditions 3 [Stone Sample] and 4 [Roof Slate Sample] of Planning Permission 2026/1821/LBC [Listed building consent for construction of single storey extension, reconfigure bedroom and ensuite, add a stud wall and replace windows and a patio door]
Approved
2026/3791/COND
Discharge of Conditions 3 [Stone Sample] and 4 [Roof Slate Sample] of Planning Permission 2026/1820/FULL [Construction of single storey extension, reconfigure bedroom and ensuite, add a stud wall and replace 3no. windows and a patio door.]
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership71.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2015-02-19
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

27 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,059

Population Density291 /km²

Owner Occupied85%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 61%65+ 20%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Northampton School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Moulton Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Moulton College
0.7 mi
-
Moulton School and Science College
0.7 mi
GoodConcerns

1 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Spinney Close
-
£405k
-
8 Spinney Close
-
£453k
-
7 Spinney Close
-
£535k
-
14 Spinney Close
-
£544k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN