Chalet 101, Carmarthen Bay Holiday Village, Kidwelly, SA17 5HQ

UPRN:10024324071Bungalow Property3 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Chalet 101, Carmarthen Bay Holiday Village, Kidwelly, SA17 5HQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£37,000

£33k - £41kMedium

Estimate

£37k

Range

£33k – £41k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£200

£200 - £250

Monthly

£200

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Chalet 101 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 21 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 19% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +18.9% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 22 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024324071· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics16.8/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×0.70; the estimate this rent rides on sits 19% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 200/mo (range 200-250)· as of 22 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 22 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -110/mo, -55% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 21 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 158 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 21 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.5/15
111 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 22%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£22,500£34,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£29,999

At the asking price

Monthly rent£200/mo

Evidenced range £200-£250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £8,800
Net cash flow: £37/mo
Cash on cash: 5.1%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024324071Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 200/mo (range 200-250)Rental economics · as of 22 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 22 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 21 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 21 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 200/mo (range 200-250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£37,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£200

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth+90.2%

3y Growth-3.1%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£34,000 (2023-12-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA17 5HQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

Carmarthenshire/PL/09990
The proposed development is to provide an outdoor food offer adjacent to the existing building at Carmarthen Bay Holiday Park, it is to include a container as Catering Unit for Food Offer
Pending
Carmarthenshire/PL/09986
The proposed development is an expansion of an existing outdoor leisure facility at Carmarthen Bay Holiday Park, it is to include: 1) Adventure Play Area. 2) Jumbrellas for covered seating area 3) Containers as Catering Units. 4) New cladding to existing southwest facade
Pending
Carmarthenshire/PL/08717
Variation of Condition 3 on W/14764 (to Allow the Occupation of caravans on the land from 1st March to 31st December)
Conditions

View Planning Timeline