Chalet 5, Woodlands Holiday Park, Bryncrug, LL36 9UH

UPRN:10070359161-2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: F (25)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 2y agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Chalet 5, Woodlands Holiday Park, Bryncrug, LL36 9UH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£40,000

£36k - £44kMedium

Estimate

£40k

Range

£36k – £44k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£150

£150 - £200

Monthly

£150

Yield

4.56%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Chalet 5 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

20/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 24 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070359161· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.53
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 150/mo (range 150-200)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -186/mo, -124% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 24 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 119 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 24 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
63 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£29,500£45,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£39,500

At the asking price

Monthly rent£150/mo

Evidenced range £150-£200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £11,175
Net cash flow: -£29/mo
Cash on cash: -3.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.13 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070359161Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 150/mo (range 150-200)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 24 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 24 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 150/mo (range 150-200)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£40,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£150

Gross Yield4.56%

1y Growth-14.3%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+1.7%

Last Sold Price£21,500 (2018-07-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LL36 9UH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

NP5/55/240
Alterations and extensions
Conditions
NP5/55/250
Retrospective application for the change of use of land shown as a “hedge screen & wildlife zone” on Planning Consent NP5/55/5C to residential curtilage, and the formation of a car parking area in association with landscaping on land opposite
Approved

View Planning Timeline