4 Orchard Villas, Danford Lane, Hartpury, GL19 3FP

UPRN:10096001902Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -AI-Powered Intelligence

Data freshness:Price Paid· 2mo agoPlanning· 2mo agoRisk· 3mo agoConnectivity· 3mo agoSchools· 3mo agoAmenities· 3mo ago

4 Orchard Villas, Danford Lane, Hartpury, GL19 3FP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

BUY
Strong fundamentals
INVESTIGATE
Mixed signals - investigate
AVOID
High risk factors

Confidence

Medium

Sale Estimate

£692,000

£657k - £726kHigh

Estimate

£692k

Range

£657k – £726k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,350

£2k - £3kMedium

Monthly

£2,350

Yield

AI Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

AI summary

4 Orchard Villas earns a INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Flood risk is rated very low. Tenure is freehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.

Key SourcesZoopla ListingsHP Property Intelligencevalue historyPlanIt / LA PortalsHMLR CCODHMLR CovenantsHMLR Price PaidEnvironment Agency RoFRaSDefra Noise MapOSM AmenitiesOfsted / GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

Low

Walkability

Low

Transit & Bike

Low

Modelled

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 12 Sept 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/40
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH)] → consensus -0.4% → credited 0.0% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration
- zoopla_valuationsestimate for 10096001902· as of 11 Aug 2026
Rental economics0/30
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.77
- zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)· as of 11 Aug 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivation10/20
1 price cut(s), 470 days on market; calibration: cuts mark staleness, credited as negotiation context only
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Sept 2026
Risk & liquidity9.8/10
74 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Calibrated against 6,141 realised listing→HMLR-sale outcomes, estimates taken as-of listing month. A large discount from one source alone is capped - independent sources must agree before it counts fully.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£521,000£799,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£695,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,350/mo

Evidenced range £2,100-£2,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £234,550
Net cash flow: -£719/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

zoopla_valuationsestimate for 10096001902Valuation edge · as of 11 Aug 2026
zoopla_valuationsrent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)Rental economics · as of 11 Aug 2026
zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Sept 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2350/mo (range 2100-2600)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£692,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,350

Gross Yield-

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskVery low
Subsidence2
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
Landslide2
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL19 3FP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1085/26/TPO
Undertake the following works to trees covered by A6 of Tree Preservation Order number DFTPO 179. Reduce crowns of two leaning Willows in rear garden back to previous pruning points and reduce lower limb of one Willow tree by approximately one third. Fell two smaller and dying Ash trees amongst group of five semi-mature Ash trees overhanging the road.
Pending
P1033/26/FUL
Erection of a single storey side extension, and associated works.
Pending
26/00051/NMA
Non-material amendment to vary the existing pitched roof orientation, to be turned 90 degrees. Roof pitch now to run from North to South rather than East to West. Finishes to remain the same, including number of rooflights on planning approval 26/00141/FUL
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership82.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median Household Income-

Population Density-

Owner Occupied-

Age Distribution

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hartpury Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Hartmore School
0.6 mi
Good
Ashleworth Church of England Primary School
1.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Hartpury College
1.2 mi
-

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Orchard Villas
-
£765k
-
1 Orchard Villas
-
£725k
-
2 Orchard Villas
-
£765k
-
3 Orchard Villas
-
£760k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN